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My Final trade on the S&P and the Head and Shoulders pattern

28 May, 2008  No Comments

I have been busy today and posted quite a few times in a short space of time!

Anyway, I entered another trade after the previous and make all the losses back to close at 0.3 points in profit! Hoorah, at least it wasn’t a loss!

As I mentioned earlier, I was talking about the head and shoulders pattern. It wasn’t a perfect pattern but as I write, the market has indeed reversed and hit my targetted endpoint at 1388 and indeed has gone beyond this!

In addition, I didn’t mention my Fibonacci placements.. you can see that the market hit an almost perfect 50% retracement level and went lower. There was round support around the 23.6% level so which was a good point to go long.

28th-may-last-sp-trade.gif

As I am watching the markets every day, I feel that I am starting to understand the mechanics of how it works.

My biggest downfall is my inability to hold a trade. Market movement is never in a straight line and zig zags up and down. I need to have the guts to ride through the zig zags and not get out at the next zig or next zag! My entry points aren’t bad when I am disciplined… however, I am let down by my eagerness to get out of a trade either through fear (scare to lose money) or greed (bag the profits I have for trades which are going my way).

Trading successfully takes time.. there are many steps and each day you learn from mistakes. However, sometimes what you think are mistakes are not mistakes but just probability or luck against you.. it’s in these situations when the lesson you think you take away isn’t a lesson at all.

Through this blog, which I use as a reference to my trading progress, I have material which I can use in hindsight to understand what I did write or wrong. In the heat of the moment when you are actually trading, it’s it difficult to see what you’re doing right or wrong.. through hindsight, I can spot my mistakes.


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A perfect symmetical Head and Shoulders pattern on the S&P?

28 May, 2008  No Comments

Today, I saw the perfect Head and Shoulders pattern on the S&P and got very excited. Look at the diagram, the 3 red dots signify the shoulders and head. I have read about this pattern in technical analysis books and in most cases, they signify a reversal pattern. I was looking at the chart moving up to at least 1388!!

28th-head-and-shoulders.gif

Anyway, I went long at the second shoulder.. the market moved 2 points up my direction.. it was looking good and then tanked, breaching the limits of the second shoulder, ruining the perfect pattern which had form and more importantly, taking out my stop for -2.5 points!!

28th-may-sp-after.gif


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AUDNZD - another Forex trade

28 May, 2008  No Comments

This morning there was another trade I put on… this was a long at 1.2183 with AUDNZD with a top loss at 1.2120 and a price target of 1.2270 with the Forex Smart entry system (a stochastics crossover 12,12,5 and colour change moving average line). He recommends the EURCHF only however but this matched up quite nicely.

The market moved nicely in my direction and I have already closed out at 1.2224. I need to keep to the system as I’ll never make it as a successful trader if I keep closing early.

Anyway, I took 41 pips but the price is still moving up and close to where my target was initially…

28th-may-audnzd.gif


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